Los Angeles @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
LAD vs STL Picks
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Contreras has hit lefties well this season (135 wRC+) and is in fine form, going 7-for-20 with seven RBI and four extra base hits in his last five games. Wrobleski typically attacks right-handers with four-seamers, curveballs, and cutters. Contreras has favorable results against all three pitch types (142 wRC+ against four-seamers, 126 wRC+ against curves, 154 wRC+ against cutters). Wrobleski, a former Oklahoma State product, probably doesn’t have the longest leash in this game, but he’s been operating as a starter in AAA and likely pitches through the lineup a few times.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.. Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (28.7°) is significantly better than his 24.5° figure last year.
Total RBIs

Brendan Donovan o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 20th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle recently (30.7° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 12.4° seasonal mark.. Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a .276 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. This game is projected to have the highest humidity on the schedule today (88%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Ben Casparius will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Ben Casparius will hold the platoon advantage over Willson Contreras in today's game.. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Ben Casparius will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera in today's game.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Mookie Betts has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. This game is projected to have the 2nd-highest humidity on the schedule today (83%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge in today's game.. Max Muncy has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.7% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.