Boston @ New York picks

Cody Bellinger has been relatively quiet in his first season with the New York Yankees, hitting just .257 with nine home runs and 35 RBIs. But it’s common knowledge that he has major power, as we’ve seen many times over the years. The slugger went deep on Thursday, and that confidence could carry over to tonight. The Yanks will face the Boston Red Sox, and Bellinger will go to battle with ex-Los Angeles Dodgers teammate Walker Buehler, who is struggling. The righty has a 4.44 ERA so far, and he’s allowed eight home runs in only nine starts. Bellinger is 1 for 2 lifetime against Buehler, and that lone hit was a home run. Seven of his long balls are also against right-handed hurlers. I wouldn’t be surprised if he takes Buehler yard here.

Buehler enters this game ranked in the 36th percentile in both expected ERA and opponent xBA. And now he has to deal with Judge and this Yankees lineup. Speaking of Judge. He’s an alien. Whose sole purpose was to come to this planet and smash baseballs. The two-time former MVP is heading towards a third as he continues to flirt with the magical .400. He enters this game with a.392 average, a 1.250 OPS, 21 home runs, and 50 RBIs. Just silly stuff. It’s also silly that his splits vs. right-handers are as good as they are. He’s hitting .383 with a 1.164 OPS vs. righties this season. Judges’ ability to effortlessly get the ball in the air matches up well against Buehler’s ground ball tendencies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the league's 19th-best home run hitter.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Walker Buehler.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.. Aaron Judge has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 24.6% seasonal rate to 45.5% in the past week.

When assessing his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Wilyer Abreu usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Will Warren.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Abraham Toro is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Abraham Toro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.. Abraham Toro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 45.1% on the season to 63.6% over the last 7 days.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Rafael Devers will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.7% to 47.3%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Walker Buehler.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.. Aaron Judge has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 24.6% seasonal rate to 45.5% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's game.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Wilyer Abreu usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Will Warren.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Rafael Devers will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.7% to 47.3%.