Baltimore @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
BAL vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Jorge Polanco o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zach Eflin.. Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 8th-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .317 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .047 discrepancy.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Cal Raleigh has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (26.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zach Eflin has a pitch-to-contact profile (25th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zach Eflin who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Ryan O'Hearn will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 19th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Gunnar Henderson has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Cal Raleigh has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (26.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zach Eflin has a pitch-to-contact profile (25th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zach Eflin who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Ryan O'Hearn will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Ryan O'Hearn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Zach Eflin today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Rowdy Tellez has made big strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 15.4% this season.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) suggests that Rowdy Tellez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .207 actual batting average.. Rowdy Tellez has recorded a .329 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Cal Raleigh has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (26.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zach Eflin has a pitch-to-contact profile (25th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zach Eflin who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game.. Cole Young will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.