Philadelphia @ Toronto Picks & Props

PHI vs TOR Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

We had the Phillies on Tuesday, and that was a runaway winner. On Wednesday, we jump ship and back the Blue Jays to get the win. Jose Berrios has been solid of late, giving up just three runs and five hits over his last 12 innings of work. It'll be tough against the Phils, but the Jays offense should do enough vs. Mick Abel to pick up the win. 

Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as Major League Baseball's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Rogers Centre projects as the #2 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
George Springer logo
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #2 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Max Kepler logo
Max Kepler o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game.. Max Kepler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the game.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Rogers Centre projects as the #2 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Ernie Clement logo
Ernie Clement o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ernie Clement's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rogers Centre projects as the #2 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Addison Barger logo
Addison Barger o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Addison Barger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. Rogers Centre ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Rogers Centre projects as the #2 park in the majors for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
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PHI vs TOR Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

PHI vs TOR Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alan Roden Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alan Roden
A. Roden
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Alan Roden will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Alan Roden tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel.

Alan Roden logo

Alan Roden

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Alan Roden will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Alan Roden tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today's game. Alec Bohm's launch angle this year (6.6°) is a significant dropoff from his 10° mark last season.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Jose Berrios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Bohm in today's game. Alec Bohm's launch angle this year (6.6°) is a significant dropoff from his 10° mark last season.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 17th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Toronto

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge today. Extreme flyball hitters like Andres Gimenez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mick Abel.

Andres Gimenez logo

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge today. Extreme flyball hitters like Andres Gimenez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mick Abel.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Trea Turner encounters a tough challenge today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.1-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.1-mph.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Trea Turner encounters a tough challenge today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner in today's game. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 92.1-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.1-mph.

Jonatan Clase Total Hits Props • Toronto

Jonatan Clase
J. Clase
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jonatan Clase's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Mick Abel. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Jonatan Clase logo

Jonatan Clase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jonatan Clase's BABIP ability is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Mick Abel. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

Bo Bichette
B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Mick Abel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today.

Bo Bichette logo

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Mick Abel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage today.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Max Kepler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Max Kepler has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Max Kepler has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Max Kepler has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

George Springer
G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

George Springer logo

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the game. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios today.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the game. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios today.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

Alejandro Kirk
A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Alejandro Kirk logo

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto

Ernie Clement
E. Clement
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ernie Clement's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ernie Clement logo

Ernie Clement

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ernie Clement's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nathan Lukes Total Hits Props • Toronto

Nathan Lukes
N. Lukes
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Mick Abel in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Nathan Lukes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel.

Nathan Lukes logo

Nathan Lukes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage over Mick Abel in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Nathan Lukes tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mick Abel.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.6% up to 28.6%.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 6th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.6% up to 28.6%.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky given the .046 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Despite posting a .286 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky given the .046 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Mick Abel throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. logo

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Mick Abel throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Castellanos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph. Nick Castellanos has compiled a .280 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Nick Castellanos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph. Nick Castellanos has compiled a .280 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto

Addison Barger
A. Barger
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Addison Barger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Addison Barger logo

Addison Barger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Addison Barger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Addison Barger will have an advantage today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders

Toronto Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 hackorama 6-4-0 +19495
2 accxmass 5-4-1 +17505
3 Midway28 5-4-1 +15885
4 CastlemontDB91 6-3-1 +15740
5 Rossi35 7-3-0 +15250
6 CitoGMoney 3-6-1 +14955
7 Kowalabear1994 7-3-0 +14035
8 rapa76 7-3-0 +13985
9 captty55 4-6-0 +12990
10 sailorman1965 8-2-0 +12945
All Blue Jays Money Leaders
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