Baltimore @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park projects as the #30 venue in the majors for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez today.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Compared to last year, Dylan Carlson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.1% to 53.1% this season.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand today. Cole Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Batters such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like George Kirby who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Tomoyuki Sugano in this game. Leody Taveras has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Over the past two weeks, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph of late. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Leody Taveras's true offensive skill to be a .301, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .059 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .242 wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Ryan O'Hearn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Adley Rutschman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jackson Holliday has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over George Kirby in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Ramon Urias is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today. Over the last 14 days, Ramon Urias's 62.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.7%. Ramon Urias has compiled a .274 batting average this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Heston Kjerstad is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Heston Kjerstad has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Benjamin Williamson's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Benjamin Williamson has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Benjamin Williamson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Rowdy Tellez has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 15.4% this year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Rowdy Tellez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .206 actual batting average.

Jordan Westburg has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.