Baltimore @ Seattle picks

When estimating his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, posting a .319 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .045 gap.

When assessing his home run skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Randy Arozarena has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.6% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the last 14 days.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Batters such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like George Kirby who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Rowdy Tellez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Rowdy Tellez has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.1% rate last year to 15.4% this year.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Rowdy Tellez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .206 actual batting average.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Cal Raleigh has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (26.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Cal Raleigh has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (26.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tomoyuki Sugano.

When estimating his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, posting a .319 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .045 gap.

T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand today.. Cole Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tomoyuki Sugano in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all major league parks.. Because flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Tomoyuki Sugano and his 42.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough position today facing 2 opposing GB batters.. Tomoyuki Sugano will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. With a 1.67 difference between Tomoyuki Sugano's 3.23 ERA and his 4.90 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the game this year and ought to negatively regress going forward.