Minnesota @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
MIN vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as MLB's 20th-best home run hitter.. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Matt Wallner will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Matt Wallner is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.. Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases

Jorge Polanco u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
This year, Jorge Polanco has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the majors for run-scoring.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which often leads to lower offensive output.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Chris Paddack
Total Bases

Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Trevor Larnach o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs.. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Leody Taveras o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Chris Paddack in this game.. Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Leody Taveras's true offensive ability to be a .302, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .056 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .246 wOBA.
Outs Recorded

Chris Paddack u17.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Projection 16 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Ryan Jeffers, the Twins's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 4th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in T-Mobile Park.. Chris Paddack is an extreme flyball pitcher (34.4% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league stadiums in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.. Chris Paddack will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs.. Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game.. Cole Young is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.. Cole Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.