Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack in today's game. Cole Young is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Cole Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Chris Paddack in this game. Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Leody Taveras's true offensive ability to be a .302, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .056 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .246 wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Matt Wallner will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Matt Wallner is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Matt Wallner pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Paddack in today's game. J.P. Crawford has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's game... and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Ty France's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has been unlucky this year. His .303 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343. The standard deviation of Ty France's launch angle this year (24.2°) is in the 92nd percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

Willi Castro is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. There has been a significant improvement in Willi Castro's launch angle from last season's 13.4° to 18.1° this season.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive skill to be a .336, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .035 deviation between that figure and his actual .301 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Benjamin Williamson has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Paddack. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Benjamin Williamson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brooks Lee is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. Brooks Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. The Barrel% of Brooks Lee has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.1% last year to 10.9% this year.

Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that Royce Lewis has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .213 actual batting average.

Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. This season, Harrison Bader has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 90.2 mph mark. Sporting a .357 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Harrison Bader has performed in the 83rd percentile. Placing in the 80th percentile, Harrison Bader has notched a .277 batting average this year.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 86.9-mph EV. Sporting a 1.81 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Jeffers has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 76th percentile.

Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split. Kody Clemens is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Kody Clemens pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) is in the 87th percentile at 95 mph.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for HRs. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Byron Buxton's footspeed has improved this year. His 29.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.23 ft/sec now.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today.