Milwaukee @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today. Sporting a 3.45 K/BB rate this year, Nick Castellanos has shown poor plate discipline, checking in at the 25th percentile.

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today. Alec Bohm's 90.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to assess power) ranks in the 25th percentile this year.

The #7 ballpark in the majors for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today. From last season to this one, Trea Turner's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.1 mph to 89.8 mph.

Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Brice Turang has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 2.5% rate last season to 7.8% this year. Brice Turang has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season's 87-mph mark.

The switch-hitting Isaac Collins will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. Isaac Collins pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Caleb Durbin will have the upper hand today. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Caleb Durbin is very athletic, ranking in the 78th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.26 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16.2% to 20.5%. Bryson Stott has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .305 figure is deflated compared to his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Last season, Kyle Schwarber had an average launch angle of 13.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Checking in at the 87th percentile, the hardest ball Christian Yelich has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.4 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Jackson Chourio will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. William Contreras will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Sal Frelick has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 86.9-mph average to last year's 83.4-mph EV. By putting up a 1.52 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has shown good plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Rhys Hoskins will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez today. Rhys Hoskins pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bats such as Rhys Hoskins with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ranger Suarez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Daz Cameron is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Daz Cameron will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) may lead us to conclude that Daz Cameron has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .198 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage today. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's game. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 39.5% to 56.1%.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Weston Wilson will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Weston Wilson will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Weston Wilson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .345 figure is a good deal lower than his .371 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for dingers. Johan Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Johan Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Johan Rojas's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 88.2-mph now compared to just 85.5-mph then.