Cincinnati @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
CIN vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Chicago Cubs outfielder Seiya Suzuki is on a solid run of late. He picked up a hit in Chicago’s 6-2 win over Cincinnati in the opener of their series Friday. That gives him hits in 10 straight games and 13 of the last 14. During this run, he's picked up two total bases in six of his previous nine games and has plus-money odds to go Over 1.5 total bases on Saturday.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Drew Pomeranz in this game.. Elly De La Cruz has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitters such as Kyle Tucker with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Lodolo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitters such as Kyle Tucker with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Lodolo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Matt McLain has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past two weeks.. Matt McLain has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV.. Matt McLain's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 46.5% on the season to 85.7% in the last 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitters such as Kyle Tucker with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Lodolo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jake Fraley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Drew Pomeranz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Fraley today.