Milwaukee @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
MIL vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, William Contreras will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humidity on the slate today (78%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Hitters such as Christian Yelich with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jesus Luzardo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.. J.T. Realmuto has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.6-mph mark.. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck this year. His .296 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.
Total RBIs

Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Jackson Chourio will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Rhys Hoskins will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and moreover, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today.
Total Bases

William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, William Contreras will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

William Contreras o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for HRs.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, William Contreras will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Christian Yelich o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the most humidity on the slate today (85%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Hitters such as Christian Yelich with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jesus Luzardo who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brice Turang o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 4th-best pitching conditions of the day.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Brice Turang generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team in action today.. Brice Turang has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.6-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 93.1-mph.