San Francisco @ Miami picks

Veteran lefty Robbie Ray gets the call Saturday for the San Francisco Giants in the middle game of their three-game set against the Marlins. At 7-0, Ray currently leads the majors in wins, with a nice 2.56 ERA that’s inside the Top 15. He’s got a gettable 6.5-strikeout line against the Marlins, and he’s been good at hitting that lucky seven punchout level. Ray has gone Over his total in three straight starts and seven of his last nine.

Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Matt Chapman usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Matt Chapman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today's game.. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Extreme groundball bats like Willy Adames are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23°, Willy Adames has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 34° figure in the last two weeks.. Last year, Willy Adames had an average launch angle of 22.2° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 28.3°.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Wilmer Flores has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last 14 days.. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% over the past 14 days.. Ranking in the 87th percentile for power, Wilmer Flores has hit 31.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 11th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Connor Norby is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's game.. As it relates to his home runs, Connor Norby has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 21.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.3.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Agustin Ramirez will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray today.. Agustin Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The #2 venue in MLB for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. With 9 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected offense, Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.. Given that groundball hitters hold a significant advantage over flyball pitchers, Robbie Ray and his 39.2% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in today's outing being matched up with 3 opposing GB batters.. Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Robbie Ray's fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this year (93 mph) below where it was last season (94 mph).

Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Matt Chapman usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Matt Chapman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.. Extreme groundball bats like Willy Adames are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23°, Willy Adames has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 34° figure in the last two weeks.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Wilmer Flores has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last 14 days.. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% over the past 14 days.. Ranking in the 87th percentile for power, Wilmer Flores has hit 31.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.