Chicago @ Baltimore picks
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
CHW vs BAL Picks
MLB Picks
Game Prop
Pick made: one month ago

Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
White Sox starter Davis Martin is in the bottom 10th percentile in xBA (.304) and in the bottom 15th percentile in xERA (5.28). He'll get rocked by an O's lineup that is fourth in hard-hit rate and 10th in barrel rate — especially with a 16 mph wind blowing towards the outfield today. Baltimore will send struggling righty Dean Kremer (5.02 ERA through 11 starts) to the hill. Kremer has an ERA of 5.73 with an OBA of .311 in the first inning while the White Sox plate a run in the first inning at the sixth-highest rate (35.1%) in the majors.
Total RBIs

Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Andrew Benintendi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game.
Total RBIs

Emmanuel Rivera o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Emmanuel Rivera hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.. Emmanuel Rivera will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 18th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Martin in today's game.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Over the last 14 days, Miguel Vargas has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 18.2%.
Total Bases

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Over the last 14 days, Miguel Vargas has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 18.2%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Vinny Capra o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.46 ft/sec this year, Vinny Capra is very toolsy.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Andrew Benintendi o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Andrew Benintendi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game.
Total Bases

Ramon Urias o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Over the last 14 days, Miguel Vargas has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 18.2%.
Total Bases

Mike Tauchman o0.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #4 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Mike Tauchman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .417.. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Mike Tauchman and his 19.4% rank in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.