Chicago @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Gunnar Henderson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%. Over the last two weeks, Gunnar Henderson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.5%.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will bat from his bad side against Davis Martin in this game. Adley Rutschman has put up a .228 BABIP this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

Jackson Holliday has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Jackson Holliday tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Davis Martin. In terms of his batting average, Jackson Holliday has been very fortunate this year. His .275 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. Jackson Holliday has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 16th percentile with a 4.16 K/BB rate.

Ryan O'Hearn has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks, Ryan O'Hearn's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.3% down to 0%. Ryan O'Hearn's launch angle this season (8.3°) is significantly worse than his 11.8° figure last season. Over the past 14 days, Ryan O'Hearn's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.5%. Despite posting a .421 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O'Hearn has had some very good luck given the .079 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.46 ft/sec this year, Vinny Capra is very toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Andrew Benintendi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Miguel Vargas has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Luis Robert Jr.'s launch angle this season (18.5°) is considerably better than his 13.1° mark last season. Over the past two weeks, Luis Robert Jr. has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 33.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.4°.

Chase Meidroth's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Chase Meidroth has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Chase Meidroth are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dean Kremer.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Emmanuel Rivera hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Emmanuel Rivera will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure.

The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dylan Carlson has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 18.9° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (89th percentile).

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Lenyn Sosa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has notched a .350 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Ramon Urias hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Edgar Quero has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.9-mph EV. Edgar Quero's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 16.2% on the season to 42.9% over the last 14 days.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mike Tauchman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Mike Tauchman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .417. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Mike Tauchman and his 19.4% rank in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jorge Mateo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Jorge Mateo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have an edge in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Heston Kjerstad will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Josh Rojas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Josh Rojas's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) suggests that Josh Rojas has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .278 actual wOBA.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. When it comes to his batting average, Korey Lee has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .215 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230.

Joshua Palacios is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Joshua Palacios will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball hitters like Joshua Palacios generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dean Kremer. Over the last 14 days, Joshua Palacios has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10% to 25%.