Boston @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
BOS vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
1st 5 Innings Spread

Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
Boston has a productive offense but tends to hit slightly worse on the road and lost one of its top hitters in Alex Bregman to an injury last weekend. On other hand, Atlanta's offense got a major boost with the return of Ronald Acuna Jr. last week. Acuna, Austin Riley, Marcel Ozuna, and Matt Olson give the Braves a slew of heavy hitters who should thrive against Walker Buehler today. Buehler has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP while Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP through 11 starts. With a slightly better starter and a lineup that was trending in the right direction before yesterday, I'll take the home side to have the lead after five innings.
Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Riley projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the game's 14th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. This game is projected to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the game's 14th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.