Boston @ Atlanta Picks & Props

BOS vs ATL Picks

MLB Picks
1st 5 Innings Spread
Atlanta Braves logo ATL 1st 5 Innings -0.5 (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Boston has a productive offense but tends to hit slightly worse on the road and lost one of its top hitters in Alex Bregman to an injury last weekend. On other hand, Atlanta's offense got a major boost with the return of Ronald Acuna Jr. last week. Acuna, Austin Riley, Marcel Ozuna, and Matt Olson give the Braves a slew of heavy hitters who should thrive against Walker Buehler today. Buehler has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP while Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP through 11 starts. With a slightly better starter and a lineup that was trending in the right direction before yesterday, I'll take the home side to have the lead after five innings.

Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Austin Riley projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.
Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the game's 14th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in MLB.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.
Total Bases
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. This game is projected to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
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BOS vs ATL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Atlanta

38%
62%

Total PicksBOS 267, ATL 431

Moneyline
BOS
ATL

BOS vs ATL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Marcelo Mayer Total Hits Props • Boston

Marcelo Mayer
M. Mayer
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Marcelo Mayer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Marcelo Mayer logo

Marcelo Mayer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Marcelo Mayer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

Kristian Campbell
K. Campbell
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Kristian Campbell logo

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Rafael Devers logo

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Ozzie Albies logo

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Walker Buehler will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Ronald Acuna Jr. logo

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Walker Buehler will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. in today's matchup. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

Wilyer Abreu
W. Abreu
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Wilyer Abreu logo

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Marcell Ozuna logo

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Abraham Toro Total Hits Props • Boston

Abraham Toro
A. Toro
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Abraham Toro logo

Abraham Toro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Alex Verdugo logo

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 2nd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Jarren Duran's skill is quite weak, posting a 3.8 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 2nd-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarren Duran in today's game. In terms of plate discipline, Jarren Duran's skill is quite weak, posting a 3.8 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 20th percentile.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Luke Williams Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Luke Williams
L. Williams
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luke Williams hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Luke Williams logo

Luke Williams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luke Williams hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Matt Olson logo

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Austin Riley projects as the 20th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Austin Riley logo

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Austin Riley projects as the 20th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Drake Baldwin's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Drake Baldwin logo

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Drake Baldwin's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. The 5th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Michael Harris II logo

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in MLB for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Carlos Narvaez logo

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for RHB BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hitters.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
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Atlanta Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
3 FAMCOLLECTOR 5-5-0 +12920
4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
6 Enelra18 5-5-0 +10845
7 tenandsix 5-5-0 +10186
8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
9 Whiteyr 6-4-0 +9475
10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
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