Colorado @ New York Picks & Props

Citi Field grades out as the #30 field in MLB for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. Antonio Senzatela will have the handedness advantage against Pete Alonso in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today. Over the past two weeks, Pete Alonso's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today. In the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%. Over the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 ballpark in baseball for left-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Antonio Senzatela today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams playing today. In the past two weeks, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.1% down to 0%.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Over the last two weeks, Michael Toglia's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Brenton Doyle hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 13.6% on the season to 50% in the last two weeks' worth of games. As it relates to his batting average, Brenton Doyle has been unlucky this year. His .214 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Ryan McMahon has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Kyle Farmer has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past two weeks. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 15.3% on the season to 33.3% in the past two weeks.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Mickey Moniak has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Hunter Goodman has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 14 days. Hunter Goodman's launch angle of late (30.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 17.9° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Ezequiel Tovar has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 8.3% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

Thairo Estrada is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Thairo Estrada pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.268) suggests that Thairo Estrada has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .256 actual wOBA.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Francisco Alvarez has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 50% over the last 14 days. Francisco Alvarez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 99.7-mph in the past 14 days. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 13.9% on the season to 50% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. The New York Mets infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team today. Jordan Beck has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last year to 18.8% this year.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Posting a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor is positioned in the 84th percentile.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Antonio Senzatela today. Juan Soto may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.52 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

Brett Baty has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brett Baty has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Batting from the opposite that Antonio Senzatela throws from, Jared Young will have the upper hand in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jared Young stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jared Young will hold that advantage in today's game.