Minnesota @ Seattle picks

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zebby Matthews is projected to throw 78 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate.. Ryan Jeffers, the Twins's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Zebby Matthews will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.. Considering the 2.58 disparity between Zebby Matthews's 11.48 K/9 and his 8.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Zebby Matthews.. Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today.. Leody Taveras has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage today.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Bryan Woo... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.4) provides evidence that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 11.0 actual HR/600.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.P. Crawford has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.