Minnesota @ Seattle Picks & Props

MIN vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Zebby Matthews logo
Zebby Matthews u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-113)
Projection 5 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zebby Matthews is projected to throw 78 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate.. Ryan Jeffers, the Twins's expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. With 6 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected batting order, Zebby Matthews will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zebby Matthews in today's matchup.. Considering the 2.58 disparity between Zebby Matthews's 11.48 K/9 and his 8.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Leody Taveras logo
Leody Taveras o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Zebby Matthews.. Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today.. Leody Taveras has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rowdy Tellez logo
Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage today.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Bryan Woo... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.4) provides evidence that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 11.0 actual HR/600.
Total Bases
J.P. Crawford logo
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.P. Crawford has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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MIN vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

72% picking Seattle

28%
72%

Total PicksMIN 239, SEA 608

Moneyline
MIN
SEA

MIN vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Randy Arozarena pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Seattle

Leody Taveras
L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Zebby Matthews. Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.

Leody Taveras logo

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Zebby Matthews. Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Trevor Larnach will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Trevor Larnach has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.P. Crawford has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, J.P. Crawford will have the upper hand in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.P. Crawford has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro
W. Castro
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Bryan Woo... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Willi Castro has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .244 figure is quite a bit lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Bryan Woo... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Willi Castro has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .244 figure is quite a bit lower than his .269 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has had some very poor luck this year. His .302 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ty France has had some very poor luck this year. His .302 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.4% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Bryan Woo) in today's game. Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Brooks Lee has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.1% rate last year to 10.9% this year.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Bryan Woo) in today's game. Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Brooks Lee has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.1% rate last year to 10.9% this year.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Ryan Jeffers has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.4-mph. Over the last 14 days, Ryan Jeffers's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.6%.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Ryan Jeffers has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.4-mph. Over the last 14 days, Ryan Jeffers's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.6%.

Ben Williamson Total Hits Props • Seattle

Ben Williamson
B. Williamson
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Benjamin Williamson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zebby Matthews. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Benjamin Williamson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ben Williamson logo

Ben Williamson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Benjamin Williamson has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zebby Matthews. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Benjamin Williamson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 4th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kody Clemens pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Kody Clemens has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 17.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past two weeks.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kody Clemens pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Kody Clemens has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 17.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the past two weeks.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. When it comes to his batting average, Royce Lewis has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .216 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. When it comes to his batting average, Royce Lewis has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .216 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .246.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Carlos Correa
C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has been unlucky given the .046 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

Carlos Correa logo

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has been unlucky given the .046 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.

Byron Buxton logo

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. Total Hits Props • Minnesota

DaShawn Keirsey Jr.
D. Keirsey Jr.
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bats such as DaShawn Keirsey Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryan Woo who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.

DaShawn Keirsey Jr. logo

DaShawn Keirsey Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, DaShawn Keirsey Jr. will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bats such as DaShawn Keirsey Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryan Woo who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Rowdy Tellez
R. Tellez
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

Rowdy Tellez logo

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an advantage today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rowdy Tellez has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

Miles Mastrobuoni Total Hits Props • Seattle

Miles Mastrobuoni
M. Mastrobuoni
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Miles Mastrobuoni will hold the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Miles Mastrobuoni stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Miles Mastrobuoni logo

Miles Mastrobuoni

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Miles Mastrobuoni will hold the platoon advantage against Zebby Matthews today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Miles Mastrobuoni stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Miles Mastrobuoni will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
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Seattle Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
3 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +17515
4 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +15505
5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
6 regger22 6-4-0 +13250
7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
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