Detroit @ Kansas City Picks & Props

DET vs KC Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Detroit took three of four from K.C. in an April series, and have six wins in the last seven head-to-head matchups. Casey Mize has a win over K.C. this year, going a season-best seven innings, allowing just four hits and one earned run in a 3-1 win. His stuff should be enough to outduel Seth Lugo and deliver a win in the opener.

MoneyLine
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

The Detroit Tigers continue to roll right along, and I don't expect the KC Royals to slow them down. The Tigers have won four straight and are getting elite pitching, allowing just five runs across their last four games. The Royals have scored more than three runs just once in their last four games. Give me the Tigers here. 

Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres logo
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Last season, Gleyber Torres had an average launch angle of 14° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.7°.. Gleyber Torres has posted a .380 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Spencer Torkelson has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 14.4% this year.. Spencer Torkelson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 100.4-mph in the past two weeks.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene logo
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.. Riley Greene has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.7% seasonal rate to 50% over the past two weeks.
Total RBIs
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today.. Bats such as Michael Massey with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Casey Mize who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Colt Keith logo
Colt Keith o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.. Colt Keith has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.4% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Extreme flyball hitters like Salvador Perez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Outs Recorded
Seth Lugo logo
Seth Lugo u16.5 Outs Recorded (-109)
Projection 14.6 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Seth Lugo is projected to throw 81 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of the day.. Shane Livensparger profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #1 field in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The Detroit Tigers have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Seth Lugo today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kyle Isbel logo
Kyle Isbel o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Over the past two weeks, Kyle Isbel's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.9%.
Total Bases
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
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DET vs KC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

69% picking Detroit

69%
31%

Total PicksDET 600, KC 275

Moneyline
DET
KC
Total

71% picking Detroit vs Kansas City to go Under

29%
71%

Total PicksDET 172, KC 414

Total
Over
Under

DET vs KC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Wenceel Perez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Wenceel Perez
W. Perez
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side against Seth Lugo in this game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wenceel Perez ranks in the 84th percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

Wenceel Perez logo

Wenceel Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side against Seth Lugo in this game. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wenceel Perez ranks in the 84th percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

Kerry Carpenter
K. Carpenter
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

This year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-driest conditions of the day at 39%. In today's game, Kerry Carpenter is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (82nd percentile). Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kerry Carpenter today. Kerry Carpenter has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Kerry Carpenter logo

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 23% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-driest conditions of the day at 39%. In today's game, Kerry Carpenter is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (82nd percentile). Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kerry Carpenter today. Kerry Carpenter has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-driest conditions of the day at 39%. Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will not have the upper hand today. In today's game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (89th percentile). In the last two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Bobby Witt Jr. logo

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-driest conditions of the day at 39%. Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will not have the upper hand today. In today's game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.6% rate (89th percentile). In the last two weeks, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Isbel logo

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Kyle Isbel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Trey Sweeney Total Hits Props • Detroit

Trey Sweeney
T. Sweeney
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) may lead us to conclude that Trey Sweeney has had bad variance on his side this year with his .272 actual wOBA.

Trey Sweeney logo

Trey Sweeney

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.296) may lead us to conclude that Trey Sweeney has had bad variance on his side this year with his .272 actual wOBA.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Michael Massey
M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today. Bats such as Michael Massey with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Casey Mize who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Michael Massey logo

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today. Bats such as Michael Massey with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Casey Mize who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • Detroit

Gleyber Torres
G. Torres
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Last season, Gleyber Torres had an average launch angle of 14° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.7°.

Gleyber Torres logo

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Last season, Gleyber Torres had an average launch angle of 14° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.7°.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

Riley Greene
R. Greene
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Riley Greene logo

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Zach McKinstry
Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage today. Zach McKinstry has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 90.8-mph. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 52.9%.

Zach McKinstry logo

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage today. Zach McKinstry has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 90.8-mph. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 52.9%.

John Rave Total Hits Props • Kansas City

John Rave
J. Rave
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. John Rave will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and John Rave will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

John Rave logo

John Rave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. John Rave will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and John Rave will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

Spencer Torkelson
S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Spencer Torkelson has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 14.4% this year.

Spencer Torkelson logo

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Spencer Torkelson has made notable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 14.4% this year.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Casey Mize. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Drew Waters logo

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Casey Mize. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Salvador Perez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.

Salvador Perez logo

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Salvador Perez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.

Dillon Dingler Total Hits Props • Detroit

Dillon Dingler
D. Dingler
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. By putting up a .337 BABIP since the start of last season, Dillon Dingler is positioned in the 89th percentile.

Dillon Dingler logo

Dillon Dingler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. By putting up a .337 BABIP since the start of last season, Dillon Dingler is positioned in the 89th percentile.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

Javier Baez
J. Baez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Seth Lugo. Over the last 14 days, Javier Baez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.1% to 14.3%. Javier Baez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.

Javier Baez logo

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Javier Baez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Seth Lugo. Over the last 14 days, Javier Baez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.1% to 14.3%. Javier Baez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Jonathan India logo

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Vinnie Pasquantino logo

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an edge today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Maikel Garcia logo

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

Colt Keith
C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Colt Keith logo

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Colt Keith is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best venue in the majors for lefty batting average. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Freddy Fermin has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Detroit Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 salgundy 2-8-0 +20490
2 PaPe454 8-2-0 +19591
3 WiNNipeg1973 6-4-0 +18000
4 vlkvlk2012 6-4-0 +16650
5 redwingfanattic 4-6-0 +16615
6 unbuckle 7-3-0 +16170
7 greekbanker 1-9-0 +15215
8 jakringle 6-4-0 +15215
9 Brayy_Wyatt 4-6-0 +15125
10 DenverFlash 7-3-0 +15069
All Tigers Money Leaders

Kansas City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +21380
2 CHEOAPONTE 4-6-0 +19625
3 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +15915
4 DavePaliwoda 6-4-0 +13570
5 Mava5 7-3-0 +13310
6 jerrygora 3-7-0 +12980
7 Brayy_Wyatt 7-3-0 +12595
8 Yellafella59 7-3-0 +12435
9 stakay125 5-5-0 +12285
10 Mexicali72 3-7-0 +12020
All Royals Money Leaders
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