San Francisco @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Otto Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest RF fences today. Otto Lopez's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88-mph figure last year has dropped to 85.7-mph. Otto Lopez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 41.5% to 35.6%.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage over Heliot Ramos in today's game. In today's matchup, Heliot Ramos is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.9% rate (90th percentile). Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos today.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. Casey Schmitt has compiled a .329 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 86th percentile at 94.9 mph.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Cal Quantrill in this game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.7°. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 24.4%. Despite posting a .219 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has experienced some negative variance given the .064 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 94-mph mark. Matt Chapman's launch angle this year (20.6°) is significantly higher than his 16.1° mark last season.

The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Victor Mesa stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Mesa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Fitzgerald's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (21.3° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.1° seasonal angle. Placing in the 99th percentile, Tyler Fitzgerald sports a .364 BABIP since the start of last season.

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jung Hoo Lee has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Jung Hoo Lee has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 82.3-mph over the past two weeks.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Cal Quantrill today. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so LaMonte Wade Jr. can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this year (24.1°) is significantly better than his 12.8° angle last year. In the past 14 days, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes LaMonte Wade Jr. has had some very poor luck given the .075 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball hitters like Jesus Sanchez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison. Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. Compared to his seasonal average of 23°, Willy Adames has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 34° figure over the past two weeks. Last year, Willy Adames had an average launch angle of 22.2° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 28.3°. Despite posting a .277 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willy Adames has experienced some negative variance given the .054 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Wilmer Flores has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 42.9% over the last two weeks. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% in the past 14 days.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Yastrzemski stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Mike Yastrzemski's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 45.9% on the season to 75% over the last two weeks. Sporting a .351 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Mike Yastrzemski finds himself in the 86th percentile for offensive skills.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11% rate last season to 23.6% this season. Kyle Stowers has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 101.7-mph in the past 14 days.

Eric Wagaman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Eric Wagaman will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Eric Wagaman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 96.4-mph in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Connor Norby is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Norby will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Connor Norby has recorded a .340 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Agustin Ramirez will have an advantage in today's game. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Javier Sanoja will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Javier Sanoja hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Javier Sanoja tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Harrison. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage today.

Nick Fortes will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In comparison to his 84.1-mph average last year, Nick Fortes's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers as the 8th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability. Dane Myers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Dane Myers will have an edge in today's game. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Dane Myers with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kyle Harrison who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.