Boston @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
BOS vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
Matt Olson has an xSLG of .544 and ranks in the Top-10 in barrel rate, exit velocity, and hard hit rate. The two-time All-Star has been on fire this month, slugging .535 with eight homers and five doubles. He'll have the platoon advantage tonight against Lucas Giolito has pitched to a 5.27 ERA with an xERA of 5.08 through five starts. Olson has gone 7-13 at the dish with four homers against Giolito in his career. That includes a game between these teams two weeks ago when Olson went 2-3 against Giolito and homered in the first inning.
Total RBIs
MM
Marcelo Mayer o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Marcelo Mayer is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in the majors for right-handed base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in the majors for right-handed base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in the majors for right-handed base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.. Sean Murphy will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Riley projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in the majors for right-handed base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.
Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 15th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in MLB for lefty base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.
Outs Recorded

Lucas Giolito u17.5 Outs Recorded (-120)
Projection 15.6 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The 2nd-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Atlanta Braves.. It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Atlanta Braves offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.. Clint Vondrak profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The #4 park in the majors for boosting BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.