Colorado @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
COL vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The 5th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.3% to 19.8%.. Dansby Swanson's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 27.82 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.3 ft/sec now.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The 5th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.5% rate last year to 17.3% this season.
Outs Recorded

Matthew Boyd u17.5 Outs Recorded (+135)
Projection 17 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Colorado Rockies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games. Nic Lentz projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.. With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Matthew Boyd will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mickey Moniak o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Mickey Moniak has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph EV.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Mickey Moniak has had some very poor luck this year with his .217 actual batting average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Michael Toglia o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will get to bat from his good side against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. Michael Toglia pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.1% to 48.5%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Ryan McMahon has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.1% to 18.3%.. This year, Ryan McMahon's 13.5% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.
Total Bases

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The 5th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Seiya Suzuki has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 11.5% rate last year to 17.3% this season.