Atlanta @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
ATL vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Bryce Harper has a modest three bombs in May, and one in his last five games. Tonight’s matchup, however, will have Harper licking his chops. The Phils face an NL East rival in the Atlanta Braves, and they will hand the ball to Spencer Strider, who just came back from injury. Harper has raked against the righty, going 6-for-20 lifetime with a pair of home runs. Strider has also allowed two bombs in his only two starts of the year. Four of Harper’s home runs have come at home, and he’s also hitting over .300 at Citizens Bank Park in 2025.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez.. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Sean Murphy will have an edge in today's game.. Sean Murphy pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases

Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in MLB.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.
Total Bases

Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez.. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.
Outs Recorded

Ranger Suarez u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 17 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Atlanta Braves projected offense projects as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.. The Atlanta Braves have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward. Citizens Bank Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ozzie Albies o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez.. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Marcell Ozuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.. Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brandon Marsh o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage today.. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 14th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.