Pittsburgh @ Arizona picks

Corbin Burnes has been on top of his game, allowing five combined earned runs across his last five starts (31 1/3 IP). Pittsburgh’s anemic offense ranks second-last in both wOBA (.289) and wRC+ (79) against right-handed pitching. Failing to score runs makes it hard to win baseball games, so, unsurprisingly, the Pirates have one lonely win in their last 12 road games. They’re just 6-20 away from PNC Park this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Alexander Canario is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Alexander Canario has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 27.18 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 54%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Moreno usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows.

Bryan Reynolds's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 11° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 43.1% to 54%.