Miami @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Javier Sanoja hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Javier Sanoja are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Utilizing Statcast data, Javier Sanoja is in the 80th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .262.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby as the 11th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Connor Norby's 13.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) is in the 91st percentile since the start of last season. Connor Norby's 95.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to measure power) ranks in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

Petco Park profiles as the #25 ballpark in the league for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle this season (6.4°) is significantly lower than his 9.7° angle last season.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Gavin Sheets is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph EV.

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Otto Lopez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. When it comes to his batting average, Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .220 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.

The #6 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Ryan Weathers throws from, Jackson Merrill will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's game. Batters such as Jesus Sanchez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Randy Vasquez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Batters such as Ronny Simon with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Randy Vasquez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.15 ft/sec this year, Ronny Simon is very athletic.

Eric Wagaman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Ranked in the 77th percentile, Eric Wagaman has one of the highest average exit velocities in the majors this year (91.4-mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Nick Fortes's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 88.8-mph now compared to just 84.1-mph then.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Luis Arraez is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Agustin Ramirez has been hot in recent games, posting a .353 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage in today's game.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Luis Campusano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. By putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Luis Campusano has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Matt Mervis will have an advantage today. Among all the teams today, the 8th-weakest infield defense is that of the San Diego Padres. Matt Mervis's speed has increased this year. His 24.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.18 ft/sec now.

Manny Machado's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Manny Machado will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today's game. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Martin Maldonado will have an advantage today. Martin Maldonado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage today. This season, Martin Maldonado has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.6 mph compared to last year's 93.5 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Iglesias will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Utilizing Statcast data, Jose Iglesias is in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .295.

Derek Hill has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.