Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 6th-driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 39%. Brandon Nimmo's footspeed has declined this year. His 27.98 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.16 ft/sec now. Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 16th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (38.9% rate this year).

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 6th-driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 39%. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will bat from his bad side against Adrian Houser in today's game. Francisco Lindor has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 13.6% rate last season has fallen off to 8.1% this year.

Chase Meidroth's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Miguel Vargas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Tyrone Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor is notably quick, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.25 ft/sec this year. In notching a .320 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor is positioned in the 84th percentile.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game. Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 37.5% to 52.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Joshua Palacios will have an advantage in today's game. Joshua Palacios may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Joshua Palacios has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today. Joshua Palacios has posted a .324 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Robert Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Robert Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today. There has been a significant improvement in Luis Robert Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 13.1° to 18.5° this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Mark Vientos will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adrian Houser in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.9% to 48.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Edgar Quero has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Josh Rojas will have an edge today. Josh Rojas is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today. Josh Rojas is in the 86th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.4% rate since the start of last season).

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage over Clay Holmes in today's game. Mike Tauchman is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Mike Tauchman has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today.

Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Brett Baty will have an advantage today. Brett Baty has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Brett Baty will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Brett Baty has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 16.9% this season.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today. Lenyn Sosa's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.9-mph now compared to just 88.9-mph then. Lenyn Sosa has recorded a .356 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best batter in baseball. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an advantage in today's matchup. Matt Thaiss is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Matt Thaiss hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today. Matt Thaiss has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Jared Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Jared Young will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Jared Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.