Chicago @ New York picks
Citi Field
CHW vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs


Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst
Juan Soto has at least one RBI in three of his last four games. And while Chicago White Sox starter Adrian Houser was excellent in his first start of the year, he hasn’t finished a season with an ERA under 4.12 since 2021. Soto has historically crushed right-handed pitching, putting up a .984 OPS. The Mets offense in general should have a good day against Houser, and with Soto in the middle of it, he’s a great pick to knock in at least one run today.
Total RBIs

Tyrone Taylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Tyrone Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Tyrone Taylor is notably quick, grading out in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.25 ft/sec this year.
Total RBIs

Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as Major League Baseball's 11th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Miguel Vargas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today.
Outs Recorded

Clay Holmes u17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Projection 16.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It may be best to expect positive regression for the Chicago White Sox offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (John Libka) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest among all the teams today.. Chicago's 16.1° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in MLB this year: #3 overall.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Pete Alonso o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as Major League Baseball's 11th-best home run hitter.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball.. Among every team on the slate today, the 8th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox.. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.