San Francisco @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nathaniel Lowe is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Hitters such as Robert Hassell III with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robbie Ray who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nationals Park ranks as the #28 stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-driest conditions of all games on the slate today at 37%. Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Jung Hoo Lee's 4.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 18th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. CJ Abrams has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. James Wood is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Wilmer Flores usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Soroka. Wilmer Flores has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph average.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Soroka. Mike Yastrzemski's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 14.6% to 19.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Amed Rosario will have an edge in today's matchup. Amed Rosario has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Amed Rosario tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Soroka. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Chapman's launch angle from last year's 16.1° to 20.6° this year.

Alex Call is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Alex Call will have the upper hand in today's game. Alex Call has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast data, Alex Call ranks in the 78th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .325.

Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today's matchup. Riley Adams has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Extreme flyball bats like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mike Soroka. Last season, Willy Adames had an average launch angle of 22.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 28.3°. This year, Willy Adames's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) is in the 75th percentile at 94.9 mph.

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Fitzgerald pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In notching a .372 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald is ranked in the 100th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this season (24.1°) is a considerable increase over his 12.8° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.9% to 48.5%. Using Statcast metrics, Heliot Ramos grades out in the 78th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .343.

The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. Extreme groundball bats like Nasim Nunez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray. Nasim Nunez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.77 ft/sec this year, Nasim Nunez is remarkably athletic.

Sam Huff has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.