San Francisco @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
SF vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Nathaniel Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. CJ Abrams has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as Major League Baseball's 9th-best home run batter.. Matt Chapman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park.. Extreme groundball hitters like Matt Chapman generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Soroka.. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Chapman's launch angle from last year's 16.1° to 20.6° this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Robert Hassell III o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. Hitters such as Robert Hassell III with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robbie Ray who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Robbie Ray u17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Alan Porter) calling pitches today.. Nationals Park profiles as the #10 venue in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 10th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park.. Considering that flyball hitters hold a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Robbie Ray and his 39.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in this matchup facing 5 opposing GB batters.. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Robbie Ray in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nathaniel Lowe o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nathaniel Lowe is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray in today's matchup.. Riley Adams has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. CJ Abrams has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like James Wood tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.