San Francisco @ Washington picks

Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Josh Bell has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV.. In terms of his batting average, Josh Bell has suffered from bad luck this year. His .156 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately.. Heliot Ramos has performed at a clip of 24.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 81st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.

Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks.. Matt Chapman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph over the past week.. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Chapman's launch angle from last year's 16.1° to 20.6° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Kyle Harrison to be on a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 82 pitches.. Nationals Park profiles as the #10 park in MLB for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks.. Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Kyle Harrison (37.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 5 GB hitters in Washington's projected batting order.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Harrison today.

Matt Chapman projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks.. Matt Chapman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph over the past week.. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Chapman's launch angle from last year's 16.1° to 20.6° this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Jake Irvin's overall pitching ability is in the 25th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.. Nationals Park profiles as the #10 park in MLB for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks.. Jake Irvin's fastball velocity has dropped 2.6 mph this season (91.3 mph) below where it was last season (93.9 mph).. Jake Irvin has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA this year; his 3.88 mark is deflated compared to his 4.92 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. In the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately.. Heliot Ramos has performed at a clip of 24.8 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 81st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.

The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park.. Robert Hassell III will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.. Extreme groundball batters like Robert Hassell III tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage today.