San Francisco @ Washington Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst field in the league for righty batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the least humidity of the day at 36%. As it relates to his batting average, Amed Rosario has been lucky since the start of last season. His .285 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .267. Amed Rosario's 4.9% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) is in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. Robert Hassell III will probably have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Extreme groundball batters like Robert Hassell III tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Robert Hassell III will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the worst field in the league for righty batting average. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the least humidity of the day at 36%. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage over Heliot Ramos today. Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like James Wood usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. CJ Abrams may have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.

Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this season (24.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.8° mark last year. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 17.2% on the season to 33.3% in the last 7 days. LaMonte Wade Jr. has been unlucky this year, posting a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .073 gap.

When assessing his batting average talent, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an edge in today's matchup. Jung Hoo Lee has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last 14 days, Jung Hoo Lee's 27.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks are found in Nationals Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.4° mark in the past two weeks. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15.4% to 24.4%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey's true offensive skill to be a .286, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .061 gap between that figure and his actual .225 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Tyler Fitzgerald pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Tyler Fitzgerald's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%. With a .367 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald has performed in the 100th percentile.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Mike Yastrzemski's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Mike Yastrzemski grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .349.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. Matt Chapman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph over the past week. There has been a significant improvement in Matt Chapman's launch angle from last year's 16.1° to 20.6° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. Willy Adames's launch angle in recent games (35.4° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 23° seasonal figure. Willy Adames's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (28.3°) is quite a bit better than his 22.2° mark last year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willy Adames's true offensive skill to be a .334, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .048 gap between that mark and his actual .286 wOBA.

Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison. Josh Bell will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Bell has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Josh Bell has suffered from bad luck this year. His .156 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.

Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. Alex Call has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Alex Call will hold that advantage today. Using Statcast metrics, Alex Call ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .324. Ranking in the 97th percentile, Alex Call has put up a .382 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest left field fences among all parks. Extreme groundball hitters like Nasim Nunez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison. Nasim Nunez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nasim Nunez has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .274 figure is a good deal lower than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.77 ft/sec this year, Nasim Nunez is very toolsy.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past week, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 42.9%. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% over the last 7 days.