Seattle @ Houston picks

I'm back on fading a Seattle pitcher with hopefully better results than George Kirby yesterday. Emerson Hancock does not get to throw many pitches, which is the biggest angle here. He hasn’t thrown more than 88 pitches in three straight starts and his 1.68 WHIP is thanks to bad command with 44 hits over 34+ innings, which drives up his pitch count. He is a short-leashed, inefficient pitcher. His K total is at 3.5 and I like the Over at plus money, but that’s because of the price and total — not that he's elite. Five innings with four Ks and multiple walks is certainly in the cards today vs. the Astros on the road. This is a bad pitcher on the road with a big out total. There are a lot more paths to this Under than the Over.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .367 — a .052 discrepancy.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Extreme groundball bats like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emerson Hancock.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Victor Caratini will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Victor Caratini has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Emerson Hancock's overall pitching talent is in the 22nd percentile among all SPs in the league currently.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Emerson Hancock to throw 84 pitches today (8th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The #8 field in the league for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .367 — a .052 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Sporting a .288 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Dylan Moore is ranked in the 76th percentile.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .367 — a .052 discrepancy.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph average.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Extreme groundball bats like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emerson Hancock.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.. Victor Caratini will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Victor Caratini has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .239 rate is a good deal lower than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.