Seattle @ Houston Picks & Props

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .239 rate is a good deal lower than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Miles Mastrobuoni has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile with a 2.01 K/BB rate.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Emerson Hancock will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today. Placing in the 21st percentile, Yainer Diaz has posted a .275 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. Yainer Diaz has displayed poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 5th percentile with a 6.6 K/BB rate.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph average.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .367 — a .052 discrepancy.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball bats like Victor Caratini usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emerson Hancock. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Victor Caratini will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Victor Caratini has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense. Emerson Hancock will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today's game. In the past week, Jeremy Pena's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%. Jeremy Pena has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 78.1-mph in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Jeremy Pena's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Gusto. Over the past 14 days, Benjamin Williamson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.8-mph over the course of the season to 88.8-mph recently. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Benjamin Williamson has experienced some negative variance this year. His .250 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Gusto today. In the last week, J.P. Crawford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Ryan Gusto in this game. Leody Taveras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. In the last week, Leody Taveras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 25%. There has been a significant improvement in Leody Taveras's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 24.4° this year.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Jake Meyers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. With a .309 batting average this year, Jake Meyers is positioned in the 95th percentile.

Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Cal Raleigh has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last season to 21.6% this season. Cal Raleigh has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 21.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners. Mauricio Dubon will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Mauricio Dubon has notched a .273 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile.

Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have an edge in today's game. Over the last week, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.3% up to 50%. Rowdy Tellez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 108.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense. Jorge Polanco has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 9% rate last season to 14.4% this year. Jorge Polanco has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92-mph average.