San Francisco @ Washington Picks & Props

SF vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's game.. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Chapman projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Matt Chapman will have the upper hand in today's game.. Matt Chapman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 7 days.
Total Bases
Jung Hoo Lee logo
Jung Hoo Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 20th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Jung Hoo Lee has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Over the last 14 days, Jung Hoo Lee's 27.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 44% to 51.2%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
LaMonte Wade Jr. logo
LaMonte Wade Jr. o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this year (24.1°) is a considerable increase over his 12.8° figure last year.. Over the last week, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.. LaMonte Wade Jr. has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 9.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 17.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. In terms of plate discipline, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 94th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's game.. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
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SF vs WAS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

SF vs WAS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jung Hoo Lee
J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 20th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Jung Hoo Lee has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Jung Hoo Lee's 27.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 44% to 51.2%.

Jung Hoo Lee logo

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee as the 20th-best batter in the league as it relates to his batting average talent. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Jung Hoo Lee has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Jung Hoo Lee's 27.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 44% to 51.2%.

James Wood Total Hits Props • Washington

James Wood
J. Wood
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's game. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

James Wood logo

James Wood

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. James Wood will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Landen Roupp in today's game. James Wood may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. Total Hits Props • San Francisco

LaMonte Wade Jr.
L. Wade Jr.
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this year (24.1°) is a considerable increase over his 12.8° figure last year. Over the last week, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes LaMonte Wade Jr. has experienced some negative variance given the .073 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329. In terms of plate discipline, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 94th percentile.

LaMonte Wade Jr. logo

LaMonte Wade Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this year (24.1°) is a considerable increase over his 12.8° figure last year. Over the last week, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%. Despite posting a .256 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes LaMonte Wade Jr. has experienced some negative variance given the .073 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .329. In terms of plate discipline, LaMonte Wade Jr.'s talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 94th percentile.

Robert Hassell III Total Hits Props • Washington

Robert Hassell III
R. Hassell III
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Robert Hassell III will have the handedness advantage against Landen Roupp today. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Robert Hassell III will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Robert Hassell III logo

Robert Hassell III

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 6th-shallowest. Robert Hassell III will have the handedness advantage against Landen Roupp today. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Robert Hassell III stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Robert Hassell III will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's game. CJ Abrams may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

CJ Abrams logo

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's game. CJ Abrams may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Landen Roupp. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Keibert Ruiz logo

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Landen Roupp. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Washington

Nathaniel Lowe
N. Lowe
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nathaniel Lowe logo

Nathaniel Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Tena Total Hits Props • Washington

Jose Tena
J. Tena
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Jose Tena will have an advantage in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jose Tena can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Tena logo

Jose Tena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Jose Tena will have an advantage in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jose Tena can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jose Tena has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Heliot Ramos
H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Heliot Ramos's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Heliot Ramos will have the upper hand in today's game. Heliot Ramos has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph recently.

Heliot Ramos logo

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Heliot Ramos's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Heliot Ramos will have the upper hand in today's game. Heliot Ramos has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph recently.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Tyler Fitzgerald
T. Fitzgerald
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand today. Tyler Fitzgerald pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Tyler Fitzgerald's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 25% over the last 7 days. Sporting a .370 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald is positioned in the 100th percentile.

Tyler Fitzgerald logo

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have the upper hand today. Tyler Fitzgerald pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Tyler Fitzgerald's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 16.4% on the season to 25% over the last 7 days. Sporting a .370 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyler Fitzgerald is positioned in the 100th percentile.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.4° angle over the last 14 days. Compared to last year, Patrick Bailey has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.4% to 24.4% this season. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, posting a .225 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .061 disparity.

Patrick Bailey logo

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.7°, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.4° angle over the last 14 days. Compared to last year, Patrick Bailey has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.4% to 24.4% this season. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, posting a .225 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .061 disparity.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

Alex Call
A. Call
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Alex Call will hold that advantage today. Alex Call has recorded a .324 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .381 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Alex Call grades out in the 97th percentile. Ranking in the 97th percentile, Alex Call has notched a .315 batting average since the start of last season.

Alex Call logo

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Alex Call will hold that advantage today. Alex Call has recorded a .324 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a .381 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Alex Call grades out in the 97th percentile. Ranking in the 97th percentile, Alex Call has notched a .315 batting average since the start of last season.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willy Adames will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 23°, Willy Adames has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 35.4° angle over the last 14 days.

Willy Adames logo

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Willy Adames will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 23°, Willy Adames has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 35.4° angle over the last 14 days.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Washington

Josh Bell
J. Bell
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Bell has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last week. Josh Bell has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .156 mark is deflated compared to his .214 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Josh Bell logo

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Josh Bell has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Bell has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last week. Josh Bell has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .156 mark is deflated compared to his .214 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Mike Yastrzemski
M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Mike Yastrzemski's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%. Using Statcast metrics, Mike Yastrzemski is in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .349. Mike Yastrzemski has notched a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Mike Yastrzemski's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 81st percentile.

Mike Yastrzemski logo

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Mike Yastrzemski's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%. Using Statcast metrics, Mike Yastrzemski is in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .349. Mike Yastrzemski has notched a .356 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Mike Yastrzemski's skill is quite good, putting up a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 81st percentile.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Matt Chapman will have the upper hand in today's game. Matt Chapman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Matt Chapman logo

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Matt Chapman will have the upper hand in today's game. Matt Chapman has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Wilmer Flores
W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last week, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 42.9%. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% in the past week's worth of games.

Wilmer Flores logo

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last week, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 42.9%. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 14.9% on the season to 42.9% in the past week's worth of games.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Casey Schmitt
C. Schmitt
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Casey Schmitt will have the upper hand in today's game. Since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 86th percentile at 94.9 mph.

Casey Schmitt logo

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Casey Schmitt will have the upper hand in today's game. Since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt's flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 86th percentile at 94.9 mph.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jacob Young has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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San Francisco Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 chefsloan7 7-3-0 +18210
2 charro23 5-4-1 +17850
3 jazzmatazz 6-4-0 +17510
4 alayne89 6-4-0 +17150
5 doomsday07 7-3-0 +16820
6 Huskerdave 6-4-0 +15895
7 Midway28 8-2-0 +15680
8 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +15400
9 CNOTES 7-3-0 +14830
10 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +14695
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Washington Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Eldominicano33 7-3-0 +20570
2 uradonkey 6-4-0 +18804
3 ThorsHammer 7-3-0 +16400
4 sleeper2239 5-5-0 +15480
5 53Defense 5-5-0 +13840
6 purple_stars 3-7-0 +12385
7 bluorch158 4-6-0 +12035
8 marlis 4-6-0 +10605
9 albertobs 7-3-0 +10440
10 dogeatdog 7-3-0 +10089
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