Arizona @ Los Angeles picks
Dodger Stadium
AZ vs LAD Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Ohtani has five long balls in his last five games, and just went deep in the series opener against the Diamondbacks on Monday. In fact, he already has three bombs in only six games versus Arizona this season. Tonight, the Dodgers face Corbin Burnes, and that typically means success for Ohtani. He’s 4-for-8 lifetime with a long ball in this matchup. Of Ohtani’s 17 homers this year, 10 have come at Dodger Stadium. The slugger has also done nearly all of his damage vs. righties, taking them deep 15 times in 2025.
Strikeouts Thrown

Dustin May u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-118)
Projection 3.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy lineup of the day.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Dustin May today, which is especially problematic given his huge platoon split.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Dustin May has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.5% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.. Dustin May has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting an 8.26 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.87 — a 0.39 K/9 deviation.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Total RBIs

Pavin Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pavin Smith ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Total RBIs

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes today.. Max Muncy is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs

Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.