Detroit @ St. Louis Picks & Props

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Kerry Carpenter has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time. This game is forecasted to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Kerry Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kerry Carpenter in today's matchup. Kerry Carpenter's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 21.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Gorman tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brant Hurter. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (28.4°) is a considerable increase over his 24.5° figure last year.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

This game is forecasted to have the 5th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Gleyber Torres meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gleyber Torres today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 93.3 mph to 88.8 mph.

Justyn-Henry Malloy is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Extreme groundball hitters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante. Spencer Torkelson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91.5-mph mark.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Nolan Arenado will hold the platoon advantage over Brant Hurter in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Hurter has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nolan Arenado has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 90.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge today. Riley Greene has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.7% seasonal rate to 57.1% over the past 7 days.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage against Brant Hurter in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Hurter has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Jordan Walker will have the handedness advantage over Brant Hurter today... and even more favorably, Hurter has a large platoon split. Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Given Brant Hurter's large platoon split, Masyn Winn will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's game.

Zach McKinstry has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage today. Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 44.5% to 52.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Ivan Herrera will hold the platoon advantage against Brant Hurter in today's matchup... and even better, Hurter has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Brendan Donovan will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph. Placing in the 89th percentile, Dillon Dingler sits with a .334 BABIP since the start of last season.

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge in today's game. Colt Keith has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph EV. Utilizing Statcast data, Colt Keith is in the 75th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .262.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Because of Brant Hurter's large platoon split, Willson Contreras will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Javier Baez has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 14 days. Javier Baez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 96.7-mph over the last 7 days.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats. Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today. Trey Sweeney hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.