Texas @ New York Picks & Props

Kevin Pillar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Kevin Pillar will have an edge in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Kevin Pillar has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.5-mph average to last year's 86.8-mph mark.

Josh Smith will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Josh Smith has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph. In the last week's worth of games, Josh Smith's 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%. Josh Smith has compiled a .294 batting average this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Josh Jung is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Josh Jung will have an edge today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Over the last two weeks, Josh Jung's 32.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Wyatt Langford has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.7% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the past week.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 95.7-mph in the last week.

Jorbit Vivas will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Jorbit Vivas will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Marcus Semien will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Marcus Semien has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph. Marcus Semien's launch angle in recent games (25° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 18.3° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Yarbrough. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.

Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The switch-hitting Sam Haggerty will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Yarbrough. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. Sam Haggerty's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (21° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 15.3° seasonal angle. Sam Haggerty has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.78 ft/sec to 28.79 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Anthony Volpe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today. In comparison to his 87.6-mph average last year, Anthony Volpe's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Jake Burger will have an advantage today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger's true offensive ability to be a .340, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .074 gap between that mark and his actual .266 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his better side against Jacob deGrom in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Jasson Dominguez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom today. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 93-mph over the past 14 days.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today. Aaron Judge's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 44.9% to 51.8%.

DJ LeMahieu has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bats such as DJ LeMahieu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jacob deGrom who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage today. DJ LeMahieu has shown some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 98.4-mph on his flyballs in the past 7 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last season's 16.9° to 21.4° this year. Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .204 figure is a fair amount lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough today. Ezequiel Duran has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.