Texas @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
TEX vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
We know very well how good a fastball hitter Judge is, but what has partly been responsible for his ascension this year (hard to believe after the numbers last season) is how well he's hit the slider. His hard-hit rate against the slider leads all New York Yankees and is well above the average in the Majors. In addition to that, he's batted almost .400 against it this season.
Strikeouts Thrown

Jacob deGrom u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-113)
Projection 5.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Alfonso Marquez) calling pitches today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yankee Stadium as the 8th-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.. With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jacob deGrom will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob deGrom in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Trent Grisham projects as the 17th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
Total RBIs

Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Ben Rice will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob deGrom today.. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.. Paul Goldschmidt will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jake Burger as the majors's 20th-best home run batter.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Jake Burger will have an advantage today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jake Burger's true offensive ability to be a .340, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .074 gap between that mark and his actual .266 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Yarbrough in today's matchup.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.
Total RBIs

Josh Jung o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Josh Jung is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Josh Jung will have an edge today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.
Total Bases

Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Yarbrough throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge today.. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.