Atlanta @ Washington picks

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season.. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark.. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph.. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. James Wood has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last year to 18% this season.. This season, James Wood has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 100.4 mph compared to last year's 96.6 mph mark.. James Wood has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 105-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 100.4-mph.. Posting a .392 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, James Wood is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 mark is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Verdugo has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. This season, Josh Bell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.5 mph compared to last year's 92.8 mph mark.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.216) implies that Josh Bell has experienced some negative variance this year with his .155 actual batting average.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.2% to 50.8%.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.. Matt Olson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph figure.. Matt Olson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.2-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 98.5-mph.. In the past two weeks, Matt Olson's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%.. Matt Olson has posted a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 9th-best park in MLB for walks.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks.. Among all SPs, AJ Smith-Shawver's fastball spin rate of 2101 rpm grades out in the 4th percentile this year.. AJ Smith-Shawver has been lucky this year, compiling a 2.33 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.75 — a 2.42 difference.. AJ Smith-Shawver has displayed weak control this year, putting up a 11th percentile BB% of 11.2%.

Nationals Park has the 9th-least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for home runs.