Kansas City @ San Francisco picks

The Royals rank 26th in wOBA and 24th in ISO against righties, and they’ve averaged a miniscule 3.31 runs per game, so I'm expecting Giants right-hander Hayden Birdsong to hold them in check in an abbreviated debut start. He's posted a respectable 2.31 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 4.30 xFIP across 21 1/3 innings out of relief to start the campaign, after all. Additionally, Kansas City starter Michael Lorenzen has also pitched well this season with a 3.76, 1.23 and 4.17 line, and he’s allowed three runs or fewer in six of nine starts, and San Fran sends a middling lineup to the dish against righties.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Wilmer Flores will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Over the past week, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 27.3%.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Wilmer Flores has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.6° mark over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Willy Adames is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today's game.. Willy Adames has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 93.4-mph over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.5) implies that Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance this year with his 6.3 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Heliot Ramos has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Heliot Ramos will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. In the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.8% up to 25%.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Hayden Birdsong throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's game.. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.9% up to 16.7%.

The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Hayden Birdsong in today's game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.5) implies that Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance this year with his 6.3 actual HR/600.

As it relates to his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.5) implies that Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance this year with his 6.3 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. In the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.8% up to 25%.