Atlanta @ Boston Picks & Props

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Because of Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Austin Riley will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Austin Riley has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 14th percentile with a 4.49 K/BB rate.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Marcell Ozuna will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 98.2-mph mark last year has lowered to 96-mph.

Michael Harris II is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today's game. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Harris II today. Michael Harris II's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.4-mph average last year has dropped to 90.8-mph.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. In the past week, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 90.6 mph to 82.1 mph. Jarren Duran's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (4.5°) is considerably lower than his 8.4° mark last season. Jarren Duran has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 15th percentile with a 4.35 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 18th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Ozzie Albies generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams in action today. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.7°, Alex Verdugo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2°) in the past 14 days. Alex Verdugo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 12.1% to 8.1%.

Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Nick Sogard pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The #5 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Abraham Toro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Nick Allen has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Nick Allen has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 89.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 85.6-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Carlos Narvaez has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.