Atlanta @ Boston picks

Fenway Park

ATL vs BOS Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Best Odds
o1.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
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o1.5  +100
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o1.5  +100
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The Boston Red Sox slugger has turned it on since the calendar ticked over to May, with a .411/.507/.625 split since the start of the month. And he’s been particularly dangerous at Fenway Park, where he’s hit .329  with 26 hits — 11 for extra bases — in 79 ABs. He’s poised to take advantage of a matchup with Spencer Schwellenbach, who has regressed heavily towards the mean after a solid start to the season. He’s allowed six home runs through nine starts, all coming against left-handed hitters, and has a 4.86 ERA on the road compared to a 2.63 mark at Truist Park.

Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +130 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +130
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the majors's 15th-best home run batter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +135 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +135
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Austin Riley as the league's 16th-best home run batter.. Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs
Trevor Story logo
Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +200 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +200
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Trevor Story's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Kristian Campbell logo
Kristian Campbell o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +195 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +195
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The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 18th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill.. Kristian Campbell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +130 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +130
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According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman logo
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +130 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +130
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When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +130 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o0.5  +130
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As it relates to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +100 bet365
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o1.5  +100
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o1.5  +100
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According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Outs Recorded
Spencer Schwellenbach logo
Spencer Schwellenbach u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 +115 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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u17.5  +115
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The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in Major League Baseball for batting average.. The shallowest LF fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Considering that flyball hitters have a significant edge over groundball pitchers, Spencer Schwellenbach and his 45.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in this outing squaring off against 2 opposing GB bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -150 BetMGM
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
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o1.5  -150
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According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

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