Washington @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 14.1% to 8.7%. Gunnar Henderson has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 13th percentile with a 4.65 K/BB rate.

Jackson Holliday has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jackson Holliday tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Mike Soroka. In the past week, Jackson Holliday's 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.6%. Jackson Holliday's 8.4° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the majors: 12th percentile. Ranking in the 16th percentile, Jackson Holliday sports a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Hitting from the same side that Mike Soroka throws from, Ryan Mountcastle meets a tough challenge in today's game. Ryan Mountcastle has posted a .260 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 14th percentile. With a 4.82 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Mountcastle has displayed bad plate discipline, checking in at the 10th percentile.

When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for CJ Abrams in today's game. Despite posting a .377 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has been very fortunate given the .055 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Mike Soroka in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Cedric Mullins tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mike Soroka.

Dylan Crews's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Dylan Crews has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Crews has been unlucky this year. His .250 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Zach Eflin. Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Zach Eflin in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Ramon Laureano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Josh Bell has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 92.8-mph figure. Josh Bell's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (18.3°) is considerably better than his 12° angle last season. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Josh Bell has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 23° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alex Call's launch angle of late (26.3° in the past week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 12.2° seasonal figure. By putting up a .324 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Alex Call has performed in the 77th percentile for hitting ability. With a 1.23 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Alex Call has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Ramon Urias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Ramon Urias will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #4 field in the league for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Emmanuel Rivera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Heston Kjerstad will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Washington Nationals.

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Jose Tena will have an advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Jose Tena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.1-mph recently.