Chicago @ Chicago picks

The Cubs are more powerful than the Chicago White Sox, outranking them in slugging percentage, OPS and home runs. They are also better at reaching base, outpacing the White Sox in hits per game, batting average and on-base percentage. Subsequently, there is a substantial gap of 2.1 runs scored per game between these two teams. The Cubs also possess the pitching advantage as left-hander Matthew Boyd takes the mound. Through eight starts this season, Boyd is 3-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. On the other hand, the White Sox send right-hander Sean Burke to the mound. Analytically, Burke is one of the worst pitchers in baseball, ranking in the bottom fifth of the league in xERA, expected batting average (xBA) and barrel rate.

There's a strong 20 mph wind blowing towards the outfield at Wrigley Field today. That will be extremely beneficial for Pete Crow-Armstrong who is fifth in the majors in total bases (98). Crow-Armstrong slugs .585 with the platoon advantage which he'll have today against White Sox righty Sean Burke. Burke has an xERA of 6.62 through eight starts. He's in the bottom 20th percentile in barrel rate and ground ball rate which will result in deep fly balls that should soar over the fence with the wind today. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Edgar Quero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. The switch-hitting Edgar Quero will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Matthew Boyd.. Edgar Quero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 88.9-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dansby Swanson has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 95.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.5% last year to 17.1% this season.

The Chicago White Sox have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season. The Chicago White Sox have 8 hitters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in this matchup.. Given that groundball hitters have a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Matthew Boyd and his 36.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in this matchup being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.. Matthew Boyd has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 2.78 mark is a fair amount lower than his 3.84 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).. Ranking 2nd-steepest in MLB this year, Chicago White Sox bats as a group have compiled a 16.2° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate the ability to lift the ball for power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.5% last year to 17.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.5% last year to 17.1% this season.