Cleveland @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the last 7 days, Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 87.7 mph to 85.7 mph. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, putting up a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .055 disparity.

Jose Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Jose Ramirez has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .366 rate is inflated compared to his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Matt McLain has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Ortiz today... and moreover, Ortiz has a large platoon split. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Rece Hinds will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Rece Hinds grades out in the 91st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346.

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Given Luis Ortiz's large platoon split, Will Benson will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Will Benson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hedges's 22.9° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the league: 97th percentile.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Kyle Manzardo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Petty today.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Luis Ortiz... and even better, Ortiz has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Santiago Espinal is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Santiago Espinal has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Carlos Santana has shown impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.4 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Gabriel Arias is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Gabriel Arias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Jhonkensy Noel pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 88.6-mph EV. Jhonkensy Noel has been unlucky this year, posting a .192 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .104 difference.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences in MLB. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage over Chase Petty today. Daniel Schneemann has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 4.8% rate last year to 18% this season.

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Angel Martinez has put up a .254 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Jose Trevino will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Jones's BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Nolan Jones will have the handedness advantage against Chase Petty in today's game. Nolan Jones has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #9 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Bo Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bo Naylor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94.7-mph in the last two weeks.