Atlanta @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
ATL vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total Bases


Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
Bregman is fourth in the majors in total bases (103) while leading Boston in BA (.309) and slugging (.579). He's been red-hot, slashing .333/.431/.676 over the last month. Atlanta will send sophomore Grant Holmes to the hill tonight. Holmes has an xERA of 4.59 and his average exit velocity and barrel rate are in the bottom 20th percentile. Bregman has excellent reverse platoon splits, slugging .600 against righties like Holmes. There is also a 10 mph wind blowing towards the left field.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the majors's 15th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Kristian Campbell o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kristian Campbell is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. In MLB, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Alex Verdugo o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes in today's game.
Total Bases

Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as the majors's 15th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Grant Holmes in today's game.
Total Bases

Alex Verdugo o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Lucas Giolito today.