Atlanta @ Boston Picks & Props

ATL vs BOS Picks

MLB Picks
MoneyLine
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Atlanta's Chris Sale won the NL Cy Young award last year but the lefty hasn't been quite as productive this season, pitching to a 3.97 ERA with an OBA of .281 through nine starts. Meanwhile, Red Sox southpaw Garrett Crochet has a 1.93 ERA with an OBA of .192 through nine starts. Boston also hits significantly better against lefties. The Braves are batting just .204 with an OPS of .615 against southpaws while the BoSox are batting .273 with an OPS of .772.

Game Prop
Atlanta Braves logo Boston Red Sox logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (No: -128)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

This should be a pitcher's due with Chris Sale returning to Boston to face his former team and ace Garrett Crochet. Sale won the NL Cy Young Award last year after posting a 2.38 ERA in his debut season with Atlanta. Sale has a 3.97 ERA this year but his xERA of 3.22 is significantly better and he has looked sharp in recent outings. Crochet made his first All-Star game last year and he's been even better this season, pitching to a 1.93 ERA. He'll shut down a Braves lineup that bats just .204 with an OPS of .615 against lefties.

Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as baseball's 16th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Sean Murphy logo
Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Garrett Crochet.. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.
Total RBIs
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kristian Campbell logo
Kristian Campbell o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 14th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill.. Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Outs Recorded
Chris Sale logo
Chris Sale u17.5 Outs Recorded (+145)
Projection 17.3 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) calling pitches in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 stadium in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. The Boston Red Sox have 7 batters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today, which is especially problematic given his huge platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Olson as baseball's 16th-best home run hitter.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total Bases
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Garrett Crochet.. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in the league for run-scoring.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.. Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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ATL vs BOS Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

62% picking Boston

38%
62%

Total PicksATL 313, BOS 500

Moneyline
ATL
BOS
Moneyline

ATL vs BOS Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Alex Verdugo
A. Verdugo
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Alex Verdugo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Alex Verdugo logo

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Alex Verdugo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Michael Harris II has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure.

Michael Harris II logo

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Michael Harris II has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Ozzie Albies logo

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Matt Olson logo

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers logo

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball. Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Rafael Devers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.

Sean Murphy logo

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Sean Murphy will have an advantage in today's game.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Austin Riley
A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Austin Riley logo

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Kristian Campbell Total Hits Props • Boston

Kristian Campbell
K. Campbell
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 14th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Kristian Campbell logo

Kristian Campbell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell as the 14th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Alex Bregman will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Alex Bregman logo

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Alex Bregman will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today.

Nick Sogard logo

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Chris Sale... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Nick Sogard pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Sogard will hold that advantage today.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela logo

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Rob Refsnyder logo

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Narvaez logo

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an advantage in today's game.

Marcell Ozuna logo

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Marcell Ozuna will have an advantage in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 20th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jarren Duran logo

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 20th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park profiles as the #5 park in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Trevor Story will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Trevor Story hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Trevor Story logo

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Trevor Story will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Trevor Story hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Allen will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Nick Allen has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Nick Allen logo

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Allen will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Nick Allen has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Stuart Fairchild Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Stuart Fairchild
S. Fairchild
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have the upper hand today. Stuart Fairchild pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Stuart Fairchild ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.8° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

Stuart Fairchild logo

Stuart Fairchild

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #5 field in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Stuart Fairchild will have the upper hand today. Stuart Fairchild pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Stuart Fairchild ranks in the 93rd percentile with a 20.8° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in baseball.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Atlanta Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
3 FAMCOLLECTOR 5-5-0 +12920
4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
6 Enelra18 5-5-0 +10845
7 tenandsix 5-5-0 +10186
8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
9 Whiteyr 6-4-0 +9475
10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
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