Kansas City @ Houston picks

Both Kansas City and Houston have trended to their respective team total Unders this season, and I’m still expecting both lineups to struggle generating offense tonight. The Royals have averaged just 3.43 runs per game, and they rank 27th in wOBA and 30th in ISO against left-handed hurlers. Astros southpaw Colton Gordon is making his big-league debut, and I’m expecting him to keep the Kansas City bats off balance after posting a respectable 2.55 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, .394 xFIP and 5.38 K/BB ratio. Houston also sends a righty-heavy lineup to the dish, and Royals starter Michael Lorenzen has fared better against righties to start the year and held them to a .228 batting average and .321 wOBA. The Astros also rank 19th in wOBA and 27th in ISO against right-handed hurlers for the campaign.

India is running hot at the dish with a .392 wOBA and .888 OPS across his past 10 contests and hit the over in this market in seven of the 10. I also value his rock-solid .364 wOBA and .819 OPS over the past two years against southpaws.