Kansas City @ Houston picks

The Royals won the opener on Monday and should get the win on Tuesday behind Kris Bubic and his solid form. Bubic has given up just four runs across his last three starts and has good enough stuff to strike out plenty of Astros' hitters. Give me the Royals to win on Tuesday. 

Witt was the AL MVP runner up last year after slashing .332/.389/.588. He's having another strong season and is sixth in the majors in total bases (90) through 43 games. Today he faces Astros starter Framber Valdez who has an xERA of 4.43 and sits in the bottom 25th percentile in hard hit rate and exit velocity. Valdez relies primarily on his sinker and curveball. Witt slugs .727 against sinkers and 1.000 versus curves. He also thrives with the platoon advantage, slashing .393/.438/.571 against lefties. In addition, there's a stiff 16 mph wind blowing towards the outfield at Daikin Park today.

This is a solid one despite the 20 points. Framber Valdez has gone Over this total in four straight games and has issued 17 free passes across 48 innings. He's also a long-leashed starter who can get to 21 outs and see plenty of batters. THE BAT is projecting for 1.9 walks on 95 pitches vs. the Kansas City Royals. The Houston Astros pitcher also is struggling with walks at home with nine walks allowed over his 18 innings at Daikin Park this season. I just need him to keep that recent walk form and see plenty of batters. Would love to get an early walk and I wouldn’t hate an IBB to Bobby Witt Jr.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Bobby Witt Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.

Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Among every team playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage today.. Victor Caratini's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 22.5%.

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for LHB home runs.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.. There has been a significant improvement in Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle from last year's 14.4° to 18.3° this year.. Vinnie Pasquantino's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 39.8% on the season to 63.2% in the last week's worth of games.

Zachary Dezenzo's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Zachary Dezenzo will have an advantage in today's game.

Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Hunter Renfroe pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Hunter Renfroe has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year's 92.1-mph figure.

The #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Among every team playing today, the 13th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kris Bubic in today's game.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Isaac Paredes will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (45.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jonathan India will have an edge in today's game.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Bobby Witt Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.