Minnesota @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Ty France is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 93%. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Ty France will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Carlos Correa will have an advantage in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Correa today. There has been a significant decline in Carlos Correa's launch angle from last season's 9° to 4.9° this season. Carlos Correa's launch angle recently (-1.4° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 4.9° seasonal mark. Placing in the 13th percentile, Carlos Correa sports a .256 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) provides evidence that Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average. Royce Lewis ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.6% rate since the start of last season).

By putting up a 2.07 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jonah Bride has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 75th percentile.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Ramon Laureano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ramon Laureano has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 17% seasonal rate to 30% over the last week. Ramon Laureano has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 94.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Ramon Laureano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 21.3% on the season to 30% over the last 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 93%. Tyler O'Neill will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (24.9°) is considerably better than his 21.5° mark last year.

Willi Castro is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will bat from his bad side against Cade Povich in today's game. Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Willi Castro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.4-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph in recent games. Willi Castro's launch angle this year (17.2°) is significantly higher than his 13.4° angle last year.

Emmanuel Rivera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's game. Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .247 BA is quite a bit lower than his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will bat from his worse side against Cade Povich in today's matchup. Brooks Lee pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past two weeks, Brooks Lee has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 26° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.3°. Brooks Lee has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .232 mark is a fair amount lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jackson Holliday has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball bats like Jackson Holliday are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for lefty batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 93%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Trevor Larnach will have a tough challenge in today's game. In the past 7 days, Trevor Larnach's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.9% up to 27.8%. Trevor Larnach's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 11.4% on the season to 27.8% in the last 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. In the past week's worth of games, Byron Buxton's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.5% up to 33.3%. In the past week, Byron Buxton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph lately. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Byron Buxton sits with a .336 BABIP since the start of last season.

Harrison Bader has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 104.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 93.8-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Cade Povich will hold the platoon advantage against DaShawn Keirsey Jr. in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like DaShawn Keirsey Jr. usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Chayce McDermott. DaShawn Keirsey Jr. has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 26.92 ft/sec to 28.41 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heston Kjerstad will hold the platoon advantage over Simeon Woods Richard in today's game. Heston Kjerstad has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Heston Kjerstad will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heston Kjerstad has had some very poor luck given the .062 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Cade Povich will hold the platoon advantage against Kody Clemens in today's game. Kody Clemens pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 82nd percentile at 94.5 mph. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Kody Clemens ranks in the 80th percentile with a 17.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

Extreme groundball batters like Maverick Handley generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Maverick Handley will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ramon Urias has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Christian Vazquez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.