Pittsburgh @ New York Picks & Props

The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Alexander Canario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 23.5% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past week. Alexander Canario's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 23.5% on the season to 50% in the last week's worth of games. Alexander Canario has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .287 rate is deflated compared to his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Gorski has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Matt Gorski hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Jared Triolo has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.3-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.297) may lead us to conclude that Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck this year with his .206 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kodai Senga. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Henry Davis has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .210 figure is quite a bit lower than his .235 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranking in the 76th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.08 ft/sec this year, Henry Davis is very quick.

The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 37.5% to 53.6%. Sporting a .314 BABIP since the start of last season, Francisco Alvarez finds himself in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Ke'Bryan Hayes hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Tommy Pham with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kodai Senga who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kodai Senga today. Bryan Reynolds has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Pete Alonso has made notable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 13.2% rate last year to 18.5% this year.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand today. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Joey Bart is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Joey Bart hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Joey Bart has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week.

Tyrone Taylor hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .245 rate is considerably lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In notching a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Tyrone Taylor finds himself in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Andrew McCutchen has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last year's 93-mph figure.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge today. Brett Baty has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Brett Baty with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Mitch Keller who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Brett Baty has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 5.5% rate last season to 16% this year.

The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last week, Jeff McNeil's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%. Posting a 1.91 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jeff McNeil has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Adam Frazier is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Citi Field. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Out of all the teams today, the 10th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Vientos has posted a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ji Hwan Bae will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ji Hwan Bae can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Ji Hwan Bae has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Ji Hwan Bae usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kodai Senga.