New York @ Seattle picks

Being a pitch-to-contact thrower can have its dark side, as Mariners SP Emerson Hancock can attest. While he's had success of late, the Yankees lineup — particularly Aaron Judge — can make his night miserable. Either by an early exit or a ton of Yankees contact, Hancock won't notch four punchouts. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.. Dylan Moore will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 18% to 23%.

When assessing his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Among every team playing today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.