Boston @ Detroit Picks & Props

The #10 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Jarren Duran has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-worst venue in the game for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Jackson Jobe will hold the platoon advantage over Alex Bregman today. In today's matchup, Alex Bregman is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (89th percentile). Typically, bats like Alex Bregman who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jackson Jobe.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage over Jackson Jobe in today's matchup.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kristian Campbell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 11th-weakest among every team today.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 11th-weakest among every team today. Connor Wong has compiled a .333 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dillon Dingler has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 93-mph. Over the last week, Dillon Dingler's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.2%.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 11th-weakest among every team today.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Given Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Jackson Jobe today.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 11th-weakest among every team today. Ceddanne Rafaela has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 13.7% seasonal rate to 24.1% over the last two weeks. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 95.6-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense profiles as the 11th-weakest among every team today. Posting a .344 BABIP since the start of last season, Trevor Story is ranked in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Colt Keith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Houck.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Considering Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Kerry Carpenter will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Because of Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Zach McKinstry will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Zach McKinstry will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .234 BA is deflated compared to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Considering Tanner Houck's large platoon split, Trey Sweeney will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 13.7% on the season to 21.1% in the past week.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Javier Baez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.