Milwaukee @ Tampa Bay picks

George M. Steinbrenner Field

MIL vs TB Picks

MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
Jake Bauers logo Jake Bauers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Best Odds
o0.5 +575 bet365
Pick made: 2 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
 -
o0.5  +575
 -
o0.5  +575
 -

Right-hander Drew Rasmussen takes the mound for Tampa Bay and should serve as a good fade candidate in this market. Rasmussen has started to slide recently, surrendering five home runs over his past three starts. He is 0-2 over that stretch with a 6.28 ERA. If anyone on Milwaukee is likely to continue that trend, it’s Jake Bauers. Through five plate appearances against Rasmussen, Bauers owns a .400 slugging percentage and a .517 expected slugging percentage (xSLG). Bauers also enters this matchup in good form, posting a .375 batting average and one home run over his past three games.

Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +135 bet365
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o1.5  +135
 -
o1.5  +125
 -
When it comes to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -135 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o0.5  -135
 -
As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Bauers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -118 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o1.5  -118
 -
When it comes to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #8 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +125 bet365
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o1.5  +125
 -
o1.5  +120
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The #8 park in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 -120 BetMGM
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
 -
 -
 -
o1.5  -120
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The #8 park in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +115 bet365
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
 -
o1.5  +115
 -
o1.5  +110
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 18th-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #8 park in the game for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate at 85°.

MIL vs TB Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

68% picking Milwaukee vs Tampa Bay to go Under

32%
68%

Total PicksMIL 142, TB 301

Total
Over
Under

MIL vs TB Top User Picks

View all Top User Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders page to see all User picks.

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast