St. Louis @ Washington Picks & Props

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Victor Scott II has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 21% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Victor Scott II and his 17.8% rank in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Call in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for RHB batting average. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. Miles Mikolas will hold the platoon advantage against Alex Call today. Alex Call has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .337 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .263 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 4th-worst ballpark in the game for LHB batting average. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to less offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates CJ Abrams's true offensive talent to be a .321, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .054 gap between that mark and his actual .375 wOBA.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 9th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

When assessing his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand today. James Wood has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. In MLB, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Brendan Donovan has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The 9th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Jordan Walker will have an advantage today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The 9th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Yohel Pozo will have an edge today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The 9th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Ivan Herrera will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nolan Arenado will have the upper hand today. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side against Miles Mikolas in this game. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jose Tena's BABIP talent is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jose Tena will have an advantage today. Jose Tena has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Tena tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Crews in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Dylan Crews has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Dylan Crews will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) implies that Dylan Crews has had bad variance on his side this year with his .252 actual wOBA.

Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Willson Contreras has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Riley Adams has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Riley Adams has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .220 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 9th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Pedro Pages will have an advantage today. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.