Baltimore @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Kyren Paris will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Kyren Paris has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.9-mph mark. Kyren Paris's launch angle in recent games (27.4° in the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 16° seasonal figure.

Typically, hitters like Jackson Holliday who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jack Kochanowicz. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today. Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. With a .221 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jackson Holliday is ranked in the 18th percentile. Jackson Holliday has recorded a .279 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will have a tough time against Jack Kochanowicz and his large platoon split today. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today. Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Adley Rutschman's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 76.9-mph over the past week.

The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today. Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Gunnar Henderson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 71.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 8.4% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Considering Jack Kochanowicz's large platoon split, Cedric Mullins will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Cedric Mullins are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this year (26.4°) is quite a bit better than his 21.5° figure last year. Compared to his seasonal average of 26.4°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32.6° angle in the past 14 days.

Jack Kochanowicz will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Kochanowicz's large platoon split. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Ryan Mountcastle has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile with a 4.42 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Logan O'Hoppe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Extreme groundball batters like Taylor Ward are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Emmanuel Rivera has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .299 mark is quite a bit lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Travis d'Arnaud will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 41.4% to 46.9%. Travis d'Arnaud has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.52 ft/sec to 26.23 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Kyle Gibson. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) suggests that Jorge Mateo has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .218 actual batting average.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Over the last week, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph of late. Ramon Laureano's launch angle this year (16.8°) is considerably better than his 13.2° mark last year. In the last week, Ramon Laureano's 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.5%. Ramon Laureano has notched a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Jack Kochanowicz today... and the cherry on top, Kochanowicz has a large platoon split. Ryan O'Hearn has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage today. Jo Adell has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.3% seasonal rate to 42.9% in the last week. Jo Adell has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 106.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 96.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nolan Schanuel has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .236 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Rengifo has had bad variance on his side given the .057 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 89°. Considering Jack Kochanowicz's large platoon split, Heston Kjerstad will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heston Kjerstad has been unlucky given the .054 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312. Since the start of last season, Heston Kjerstad's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 85th percentile at 94.9 mph.