Chicago @ New York picks
Citi Field
CHC vs NYM Picks
MLB Picks
The Cubs have gotten off to slow starts, plating a run in the first inning at the fourth-lowest rate in the majors (23.1%). The Mets score in the first inning at the sixth-lowest rate (25.6%). Tylor Megill is in the midst of a breakout season for the Mets, pitching to a 2.50 ERA through seven starts. He's been dominant in the first inning where he has yet to allow a run this year while posting an OBA of .087. The Cubs will start Brad Keller who usually works out of the bullpen. I'm not sure how long Keller will stay in the game but I trust him to be able to get through the first inning unscathed.


Soto is slashing .367/.474/.933 with a pair of doubles and five homers in eight games this month. The five-time Silver Slugger winner is in the top five percent in exit velocity and hard-hit rate which has led to an xSLG of .641 — the fourth-best number in the majors. He'll have the platoon advantage today against Cubs starter Brad Keller. Keller has primarily worked out of the bullpen the last two years and when he previously started he struggled, posting a 5.14 ERA in 57 starts from 2021 to 2023. Soto has a history of dominating Keller, going 4-6 at the plate with two dingers in his career.









