Philadelphia @ Cleveland Picks & Props

PHI vs CLE Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Aaron Nola logo Aaron Nola u17.5 Outs Recorded (+145)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

THE BAT is projecting 17.40 outs from the Phillies starter on 98 pitches, but there is a chance he sees a lighter workload. Aaron Nola, who struggled mightily at the beginning of the season, is coming off a 109-pitch game where he almost was scratched because of a neck injury. His neck could always flare up again and management might keep him on a shorter leash. Nola has thrown more than 109 pitches just once over his last three seasons. It’s not a spot he hits often, and that combined with some early-season struggles and facing a Cleveland team that takes a lot of pitches is a great spot for this plus-money prop tonight.

Game Prop
Philadelphia Phillies logo Cleveland Guardians logo Any Runs Scored in 1st Inning? (Yes: +125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Phillies starter Aaron Nola has a 4.61 ERA in seven starts while pitching to a 6.43 ERA in the first inning. He faces a Guardians squad that has been red hot, plating at least eight runs in three-straight games. The Phillies have a formidable lineup that is ninth in the majors in OPS (.743) and scores a run in the first inning at the fourth-highest rate (37.8%). They should get on the board early against Cleveland starter Gavin Williams who has an xERA of 5.81. He's been even worse in the opening frame where he has an ERA of 6.43 with an OBA of .379. 

MoneyLine
Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Betting on good offenses seems like a good strategy, especially when taking on pitchers who boast an ERA north of 5. The Phils' bats stay hot, and Aaron Nola gets his second win with his third great start in succession. 

Total RBIs
Bo Naylor logo
Bo Naylor o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today.. Extreme groundball batters like Bo Naylor generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Nola.. Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Bo Naylor has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Kyle Manzardo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Aaron Nola who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Kyle Manzardo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Aaron Nola who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability.. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.. In notching a .344 BABIP since the start of last season, Trea Turner grades out in the 96th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. In the majors, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Kyle Manzardo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Aaron Nola who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Kyle Manzardo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Aaron Nola who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Outs Recorded
Aaron Nola logo
Aaron Nola u17.5 Outs Recorded (+145)
Projection 17.4 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #6 park in the majors for boosting base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.. The Cleveland Guardians have 8 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in this matchup.. Given that flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Aaron Nola and his 42.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position today squaring off against 3 opposing GB hitters.. Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aaron Nola today.
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Jose Ramirez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Aaron Nola who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Gabriel Arias logo
Gabriel Arias o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Gabriel Arias has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. Gabriel Arias will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Gabriel Arias's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 11.9% to 19%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors's 4th-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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PHI vs CLE Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

65% picking Philadelphia

65%
35%

Total PicksPHI 535, CLE 286

Moneyline
PHI
CLE
Moneyline
Total

65% picking Philadelphia vs Cleveland to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksPHI 328, CLE 178

Total
Over
Under

PHI vs CLE Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Gabriel Arias
G. Arias
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gabriel Arias has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Gabriel Arias will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Gabriel Arias logo

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Gabriel Arias's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gabriel Arias has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. Gabriel Arias will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Kyle Manzardo Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Kyle Manzardo
K. Manzardo
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. In the majors, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Manzardo logo

Kyle Manzardo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. In the majors, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Alec Bohm
A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 92.2-mph lately.

Alec Bohm logo

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 92.2-mph lately.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Trea Turner
T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Trea Turner logo

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Jose Ramirez logo

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Angel Martinez
A. Martinez
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Angel Martinez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph mark.

Angel Martinez logo

Angel Martinez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Angel Martinez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph mark.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Bo Naylor
B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball batters like Bo Naylor generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Nola. Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Bo Naylor logo

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball batters like Bo Naylor generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Aaron Nola. Bo Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Daniel Schneemann Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Daniel Schneemann
D. Schneemann
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. In the majors, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today.

Daniel Schneemann logo

Daniel Schneemann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Schneemann has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. In the majors, Progressive Field's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Johan Rojas
J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitters such as Johan Rojas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Gavin Williams who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Johan Rojas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph EV. Johan Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 14% on the season to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

Johan Rojas logo

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitters such as Johan Rojas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Gavin Williams who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Johan Rojas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.9-mph average to last year's 85.5-mph EV. Johan Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 14% on the season to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. There has been a significant improvement in J.T. Realmuto's launch angle from last year's 9.3° to 12.9° this year.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. There has been a significant improvement in J.T. Realmuto's launch angle from last year's 9.3° to 12.9° this year.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Steven Kwan
S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today.

Steven Kwan logo

Steven Kwan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Steven Kwan will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Nick Castellanos
N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Nick Castellanos logo

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best batter in the league. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Max Kepler has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.4% to 22.2%.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the last 14 days, Max Kepler has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.4% to 22.2%.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Carlos Santana
C. Santana
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carlos Santana logo

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Carlos Santana pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 17th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today's game.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Nolan Jones
N. Jones
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Nolan Jones logo

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #3 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders

Cleveland Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dude18555 5-5-0 +18995
2 HJLOPEZ 8-2-0 +16210
3 mindsusan12 6-2-2 +14485
4 lusvegasluva 4-5-1 +14215
5 OMREBEL02 2-8-0 +13685
6 RebelTell2 7-3-0 +13150
7 allan6 7-2-1 +12945
8 peacy454 4-6-0 +12845
9 midway1942 6-3-1 +12570
10 BRUNOD 8-2-0 +12486
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