Chicago @ Kansas City picks

None of the first three games of this series have gone Over the total. Part of this is due to how anemic the White Sox offense is. The Royals are also the perfect combo for Unders. They're one of baseball's worst offense, scoring just 3.14 runs per game, but also own one of the best team ERAs at 2.99.

Maikel Garcia is slashing .323/.392/.496 and has been red-hot lately, batting .397 while slugging .603 over his last 16 games. Garcia is seventh in the majors in xBA (.328) and is in the top 15th percentile in hard-hit rate (51.4%) and average exit velocity (93.2). He's at home today and will face the White Sox starter Davis Martin. Martin has a 3.52 ERA through seven starts but his statcast analytics suggest major regression. Martin has an xERA of 5.96 and he also sits in the bottom 10th percentile in xBA (.317), hard-hit rate (49.6%), and exit velocity (92.9).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Edgar Quero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Edgar Quero will get to bat from his good side against Kris Bubic in today's matchup.. Edgar Quero has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.1-mph.

Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Miguel Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kris Bubic.. Miguel Vargas has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 13.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Bats such as Bobby Witt Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Davis Martin who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Bobby Witt Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The Chicago White Sox have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward. It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the best field in baseball for walks.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Kris Bubic's 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Davis Martin today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.

Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an edge in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Miguel Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kris Bubic.. Miguel Vargas has had some very poor luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 13.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Edgar Quero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Edgar Quero will get to bat from his good side against Kris Bubic in today's matchup.. Edgar Quero has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.1-mph.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to higher offensive output.. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Martin today.. Vinnie Pasquantino will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 17.4%.