Cincinnati @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
CIN vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Right-hander Grant Holmes is coming off a career-high nine punchouts in his last outing and the Atlanta Braves are giving him as many pitches as he wants. He projects for over 95 pitches and THE BAT has him for Over six strikeouts. The Cincinnati Reds offense sits below the league average in wRC+ and strikes out more on the road. Chris Sale struck out 10 yesterday and there are a possible four starters in today’s lineup with a strikeout rate of 28% or better. This line is moving but I’m still buying to -125.
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Riley projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's game.. When it comes to power, Sean Murphy has performed in the 92nd percentile, having hit 29.3 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side against Grant Holmes in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Total RBIs

Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ozzie Albies is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 3rd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Gavin Lux o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The #5 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Riley o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Riley projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt McLain o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Matt McLain hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.